CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x113940f90db7716d02816b60907b907866cca32b1879c609afcb410ca6018c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof HOTU, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked HOTU | 22c | 1,093$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HOTU | 55c | 1,035$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.55 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HOTU | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne | 54c | 961.3$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.44 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked GenOne | 51c | 872.35$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.45 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GenOne | 44c | 690.21$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.84 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed GenOne | 77c | 651.6$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 40c | 651.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 40c | 617.62$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HOTU | 50c | 448.67$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne | 60c | 444.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed GenOne | 48c | 417.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne | 49c | 355.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GenOne | 62c | 351.11$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed GenOne | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne | 49c | 263$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed GenOne | 49c | 254.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU | 64c | 228$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 65c | 209$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed HOTU | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 21c | 156.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed GenOne | 73c | 148$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed GenOne | 50c | 144$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed GenOne | 47c | 132.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 48c | 126.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 11c | 125.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 24c | 100.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked HOTU | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked GenOne | 79c | 95.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed HOTU | 30c | 94.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed HOTU | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HOTU | 55c | 79.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed HOTU | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GenOne | 48c | 58.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed HOTU | 52c | 58.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed GenOne | 45c | 58.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HOTU | 61c | 47.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked GenOne | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…db31backed GenOne | 49c | 37.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HOTU | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed GenOne | 47c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed GenOne | 48c | 31.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed GenOne | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed GenOne | 48c | 28.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked GenOne | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked HOTU | 49c | 27.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed HOTU | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GenOne | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked GenOne | 50c | 22.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HOTU | 56c | 20.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HOTU | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…9cd3backed GenOne | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)GenOne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.