TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GenOneof HOTU, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedd1…45a9backed HOTU5c5,904$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.074010%4 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GenOne77c4,594$3,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.611,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked HOTU50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05075056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU53c1,899$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.6818356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne47c1,479$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU43c1,419$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.156,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed GenOne59c1,376$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.681,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed HOTU54c1,192$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4424551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne39c1,100$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.55,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked HOTU61c1,003$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.51,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU52c1,001$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.212,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed HOTU1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed GenOne41c986.28$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.972,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed HOTU45c863.66$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3216850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed HOTU57c806$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.421540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked HOTU41c786.48$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.462,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GenOne54c495.3$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.231,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed HOTU13c486.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GenOne47c433.69$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.797,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU18c418$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.072,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne73c339.47$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.484,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081f…9fcdbacked HOTU60c320.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked HOTU62c315.81$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.437140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU26c256.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.582,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed GenOne54c249.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.871,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked HOTU33c231.64$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4427549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU20c229.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.493,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GenOne49c223.07$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.851,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HOTU12c216.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.982,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed GenOne57c201$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0957935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked GenOne57c201$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.092835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed GenOne40c197.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4336649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed HOTU51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039955.4%221 W · 178 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked GenOne57c196$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.926634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked GenOne57c196$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9210029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked GenOne64c192.42$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.871,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked HOTU60c190$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne50c187.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.732,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed GenOne80c186.74$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4996543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed HOTU60c185.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.473357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked GenOne57c180.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.059430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed GenOne49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5845754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed HOTU59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GenOne41c169.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed GenOne63c167$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6240247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne70c166.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.314,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed GenOne69c165.09$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed HOTU72c157$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0415277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU58c136.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.391945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU18c124$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU47c100.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.433,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU55c99.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed GenOne41c92.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6830939.2%121 W · 188 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked GenOne41c92.68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6830638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU19c92.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed GenOne49c90.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0389046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed HOTU34c73.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne43c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…0f76backed GenOne71c69.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked HOTU19c63.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU30c63.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.243,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked HOTU50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed HOTU60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed GenOne50c54.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0440857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed GenOne41c50.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed GenOne43c47.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05a…19eebacked GenOne53c45.92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+41.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed HOTU67c45.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010451.9%54 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed HOTU57c43.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0289…cb50backed GenOne47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x214a…9cd3backed GenOne46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.82250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed HOTU53c35.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9518233%60 W · 122 L-22.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed GenOne40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112654.8%69 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed HOTU48c34.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.284721.3%10 W · 37 L-13.4wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HOTU63c33.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.314,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked HOTU56c33.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9267547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked HOTU33c32.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.692,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed GenOne57c32.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9545240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed GenOne40c32.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2823956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed HOTU57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.132845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed HOTU49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.630247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf388…5c83backed GenOne69c29.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked GenOne63c28.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4339772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c40…44a1backed GenOne39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.212653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed GenOne41c25.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3312844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed HOTU63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked HOTU49c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5613148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked GenOne50c22.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bc…2e2ebacked HOTU53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked HOTU66c20.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.436174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed HOTU51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.213835.5%49 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked HOTU57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.419954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.