TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GenOneof HOTU, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6185…2965backed HOTU63c4,762$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.2614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne37c4,751$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.055,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne52c3,000$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.42,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed HOTU62c2,627$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.954055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne37c1,923$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.352,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU56c1,885$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.71,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked HOTU65c1,618$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.545442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU17c1,407$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.211,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked GenOne71c1,394$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.071,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU4c1,366$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed HOTU63c1,144$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.722958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked GenOne61c1,044$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.971,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed HOTU1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed GenOne36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9926155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed HOTU9c818.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5915846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed HOTU63c813.92$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.7715349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed HOTU64c796.95$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.051540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed HOTU63c743.53$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.429442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked HOTU40c684.27$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.932,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed HOTU31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GenOne37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HOTU3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked HOTU63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed GenOne54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306456.3%36 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed GenOne71c403$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1388330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked HOTU63c391.93$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8822645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed GenOne64c371.33$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6820745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne61c344.94$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.42,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU12c340.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.964,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU62c328.71$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba8…854bbacked GenOne42c323.05$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.376560%39 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed GenOne37c294.4$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.478143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed GenOne45c294.34$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.836649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed HOTU63c285.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed HOTU55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15435153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed GenOne40c270.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7532844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed HOTU27c268.47$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.871,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed HOTU38c263$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9421247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed HOTU63c260.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16536749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb2…97edbacked HOTU39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed GenOne38c230.84$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4750051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked HOTU17c222.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.852,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed GenOne37c220$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.62,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed GenOne38c216.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed HOTU21c214.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed HOTU23c211.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4320242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed HOTU62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12577351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed HOTU30c191.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5616720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne41c177.85$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.934,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6952…40d8backed HOTU36c174.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.982227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU64c156.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018750.8%95 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed HOTU62c145.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3419340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed HOTU23c142.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed GenOne36c141.2$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3774054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked GenOne38c128.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.951,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e0…e839backed HOTU36c126.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed HOTU59c121.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU49c119.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.82,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed HOTU28c116.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.311,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed HOTU26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked HOTU62c110$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed HOTU20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HOTU62c93.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9357…1e38backed HOTU14c93.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed HOTU60c91.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.933636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked GenOne55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.919567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed GenOne37c89.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6912343.9%54 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked HOTU52c79.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.592,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed GenOne38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9583856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed GenOne37c78.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3828549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…0f76backed HOTU63c78.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.73955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked GenOne55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed GenOne58c64.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1434…d63bbacked HOTU42c64.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed GenOne41c60.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4510437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked HOTU63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.796735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbf6c…701bbacked HOTU63c58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed GenOne38c56.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3434750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked HOTU63c52.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.848948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GenOne48c50.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.412,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed HOTU62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed GenOne43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.536856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked HOTU62c47.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed GenOne80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked GenOne38c42.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6414751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.665,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed GenOne38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.476429.7%19 W · 45 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed GenOne37c39.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6412844.5%57 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked HOTU64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9619849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked HOTU63c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.316666.7%44 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked GenOne41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5916236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239c…f7c2backed HOTU28c35.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.073336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed HOTU63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023963.2%151 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed GenOne64c31.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.346055%33 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GenOne58c30.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.844,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed GenOne37c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8941437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed GenOne38c29.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0837855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed HOTU67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.