CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa11e9f0accdf811c73d49f4b72f7e8363d73ac4bee37c8be5e7b2474b169e74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof HOTU, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 63c | 1,966$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked HOTU | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked GenOne | 64c | 747.34$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.25 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked HOTU | 36c | 577.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed HOTU | 37c | 552.21$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HOTU | 35c | 424.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.49 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GenOne | 64c | 335.72$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU | 36c | 262.59$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed GenOne | 64c | 84.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed GenOne | 64c | 81.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HOTU | 36c | 79.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed HOTU | 35c | 76.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed GenOne | 66c | 69.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked GenOne | 63c | 60.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked GenOne | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne | 63c | 49.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked HOTU | 35c | 47.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GenOne | 65c | 33.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed GenOne | 64c | 31.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked HOTU | 35c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed GenOne | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed GenOne | 63c | 23.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked GenOne | 63c | 21.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.