Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e0ef714feb8b4588c305975891353a0d234a618a229dcd064f1433305932b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 2,251$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.81 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 773.27$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 43c | 682.55$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 73c | 651.23$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 37c | 526.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 290.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 272.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 238.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 202.76$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 174.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 144.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 65c | 132.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 125.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 103.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 100.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 91.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 88.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 78.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 75.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 72c | 68.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 65.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 20c | 56.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 50.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 32c | 47.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 44.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 63c | 39.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 41c | 26.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 40c | 25.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 20.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.