Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b987cfec1afad0c281b24d29dcfbb475d7336e7163e5cf8c370144148ef1333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Azure Dragon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 32c | 1,501$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 1,350$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 12c | 739.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 645.44$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 639.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.34 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 614.07$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 592.65$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 579.04$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 28c | 522.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 14c | 390.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 17c | 312.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 291.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 236.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 16c | 223.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 151.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 147.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 75c | 147$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 17c | 138.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 128.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 8c | 121.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 114.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 31c | 99.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 13c | 98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 12c | 97.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 94.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 85.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 27c | 85.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 15c | 76.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 74.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 64.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 17c | 57.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 34c | 46.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8cb6backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 41cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Azure Dragon Gaming | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…854bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Azure Dragon Gaming | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1519…4b16backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 25.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Azure Dragon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.