TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eintracht Spandauof VfB eSports, Eintracht Spandau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Eintracht Spandau80c16,000$12,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.4365544.1%289 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed VfB eSports32c9,172$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.0248449.8%241 W · 243 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed VfB eSports21c5,379$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.252,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed VfB eSports24c3,956$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.251,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed VfB eSports10c3,927$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1317939.1%70 W · 109 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842c…6674backed Eintracht Spandau66c2,995$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.718162.4%113 W · 68 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eintracht Spandau72c2,085$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.841,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked VfB eSports22c2,028$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4824434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed VfB eSports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed VfB eSports24c1,849$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed Eintracht Spandau77c1,430$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.055349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Eintracht Spandau64c1,420$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.661,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Eintracht Spandau78c1,289$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5327957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed VfB eSports23c1,260$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.391643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed VfB eSports22c1,162$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7397527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Eintracht Spandau77c1,016$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.768750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Spandau76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Eintracht Spandau75c976.24$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.891,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…3ca3backed VfB eSports21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031650.3%159 W · 157 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed VfB eSports30c902.86$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.8486943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eintracht Spandau77c821.4$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.581,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked VfB eSports23c752.94$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.39344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked VfB eSports19c715.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.787443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Eintracht Spandau78c695$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.131,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked VfB eSports21c683.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.742,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Eintracht Spandau68c623.5$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.631,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked VfB eSports13c602.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.512525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed VfB eSports26c564.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14648763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked VfB eSports26c513.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7569259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed VfB eSports18c502.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.592352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…2573backed VfB eSports22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed VfB eSports18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019747.7%94 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked VfB eSports19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed VfB eSports17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8569642.4%295 W · 401 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Eintracht Spandau78c499.81$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.813154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked VfB eSports19c488.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.842,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed VfB eSports26c468.84$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.041,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked VfB eSports22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930437.8%115 W · 189 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed VfB eSports18c450$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.527638.4%106 W · 170 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed VfB eSports23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d3…c2c0backed VfB eSports21c425.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.447948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked VfB eSports19c424.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6924832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed VfB eSports23c381.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.072,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked VfB eSports7c319.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0268915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Eintracht Spandau74c317.09$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.623842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked VfB eSports22c310.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6718841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Eintracht Spandau76c310$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed VfB eSports21c267$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0742735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau68c257.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.842,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf21…d34abacked Eintracht Spandau78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4114461.8%89 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Eintracht Spandau61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Eintracht Spandau63c244.15$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6697744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked VfB eSports21c238.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1752149.9%260 W · 261 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed VfB eSports21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked VfB eSports44c235.59$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked VfB eSports21c228.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810223.5%24 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Eintracht Spandau73c224$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.621,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed VfB eSports24c221$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.213,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked VfB eSports22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.466845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Eintracht Spandau80c210.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5216141.6%67 W · 94 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Eintracht Spandau72c209.01$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4153543.4%232 W · 303 L+33.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Eintracht Spandau60c208.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.642348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked VfB eSports21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220440.7%83 W · 121 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Eintracht Spandau78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4439851.3%204 W · 194 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x402e…3f79backed VfB eSports17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Eintracht Spandau65c198.2$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8913553.3%72 W · 63 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked VfB eSports37c172$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.561,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed VfB eSports22c170.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9355045.3%249 W · 301 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Eintracht Spandau64c169.75$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4412469.4%86 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25ea…2675backed VfB eSports24c169.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033756.1%189 W · 148 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed VfB eSports24c167.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405944.1%26 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Eintracht Spandau76c167.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.235835.5%127 W · 231 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Eintracht Spandau60c165.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.771,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Eintracht Spandau61c155.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0469841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked VfB eSports32c153.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.391,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Eintracht Spandau78c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked VfB eSports18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed VfB eSports22c144.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8342940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea8e…a638backed VfB eSports38c142.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Eintracht Spandau76c140$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.951,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7948…dad7backed Eintracht Spandau56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9313160.3%79 W · 52 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Eintracht Spandau75c131.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.241758.8%10 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed VfB eSports20c128.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.936434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed VfB eSports39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078646.4%365 W · 421 L+19.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Eintracht Spandau80c125.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3826151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed VfB eSports21c122.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7842450.5%214 W · 210 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Eintracht Spandau67c119.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5375649.6%375 W · 381 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Eintracht Spandau75c116.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2314545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Eintracht Spandau69c115.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.821471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked VfB eSports28c115.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7310657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed VfB eSports22c113$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8612543.2%54 W · 71 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked VfB eSports20c110.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4656228.6%161 W · 401 L-32.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked VfB eSports26c106.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.669334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed VfB eSports43c103.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.471,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Eintracht Spandau56c102.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0427848.2%134 W · 144 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked VfB eSports20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016241.4%67 W · 95 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eintracht Spandau78c98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.562,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked VfB eSports22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7470…07c9backed VfB eSports17c90.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511337.2%42 W · 71 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed VfB eSports16c90.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3815135.8%54 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.