CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6007fbc604ececaf3fb32a8b5545ee908b5afdd3a88df3d31c7bdce506b462b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 3,062$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 1,554$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 11.7%19 W · 144 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 964.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 9c | 657.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 604$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 533.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 525.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 4c | 507.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 469.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 431.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 431.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 80c | 403.54$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 10c | 357.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 348$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 341.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 324.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 281$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 275.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 227.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcaeb…92f6backed Yawara Esports | 79c | 182.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 142.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 137.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 8c | 131.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 102.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 89.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac4…c8ccbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 78.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Yawara Esports | 80c | 53.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…bec0backed Yawara Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Yawara Esports | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.