CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f06fe4c5df38227444e224d001e4390b447b77cdf938f70954bc81eec74f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 77c | 1,323$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.88 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 881.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 76c | 737.82$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 699.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 670.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 7c | 642.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 585.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 458.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 373.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 3c | 360.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 306.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 76c | 297.46$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 273$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Yawara Esports | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 189$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 183.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 147$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 138.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 12c | 135.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 132.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 126.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 125.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 119.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 100.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Yawara Esports | 72c | 97.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 82.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 71.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yawara Esports | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 57.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yawara Esports | 78c | 51.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Yawara Esports | 74c | 47.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed METANOIA WOLVES | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 75c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…b1d4backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 24.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 23.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…fd1abacked Yawara Esports | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed Yawara Esports | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1ccabacked Yawara Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group BYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.