CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97aca4141cdb61f9b199fb573f7764f5ef5f025d894116211c8d2496c4eddd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 34c | 4,169$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed METANOIA WOLVES | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 72c | 1,075$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 14c | 1,027$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 1,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed METANOIA WOLVES | 11c | 609.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 544.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 67c | 462.04$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 352.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 275.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed METANOIA WOLVES | 20c | 256.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 30c | 236.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 227.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 224.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 187$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 173.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 75c | 171.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 22c | 169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 26c | 165.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed METANOIA WOLVES | 25c | 145.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 141.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yawara Esports | 74c | 127.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed METANOIA WOLVES | 27c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…7033backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 102.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yawara Esports | 70c | 99.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yawara Esports | 78c | 99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 97.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yawara Esports | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed METANOIA WOLVES | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Yawara Esports | 76c | 83.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 70.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 64.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yawara Esports | 68c | 63.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yawara Esports | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 45.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yawara Esports | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yawara Esports | 69c | 35.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yawara Esports | 71c | 31.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yawara Esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Yawara Esports | 80c | 28.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 28.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yawara Esports | 69c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yawara Esports | 64c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group BYawara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.