Champions League · resolved market
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13834c6ab983e856ae073f6a9d2789defa77c7056d7c5462f7ce1d2c1c524cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 14c | 2,194$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 2,086$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,875$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,609$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.53 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 1,021$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.41 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 835.69$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 19c | 779.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 604.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 80c | 566.6$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 4c | 550.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 517$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 79c | 393.67$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 362.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 309.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 190.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 143$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 114.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked Yes | 18c | 110.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 22c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 19c | 98.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 79c | 89.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…7ec7backed Yes | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 52.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 79cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…58cabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 78c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 80c | 23.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KÍ win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. KÍ end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.