Dota2 · resolved market
Team Liquid to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45046ec0e615b96cc354778dfd94afe7da389eb086ee2463e82ed03eb400571d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9166…b479backed Yes | 70c | 5,055$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.05 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed No | 41c | 2,718$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.76 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 57c | 2,141$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.89 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 29c | 1,600$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…abf6backed Yes | 60c | 1,343$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 34c | 1,193$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.87 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 40c | 1,081$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.32 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 44c | 696$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.77 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ac…e30dbacked Yes | 55c | 694.23$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked No | 45c | 628.46$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.92 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed No | 46c | 603.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 585.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.97 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Yes | 53c | 563.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 46c | 540$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 50c | 513.53$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked No | 46c | 504.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.25 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…73c1backed Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 440.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 54c | 392.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Yes | 72c | 386.11$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 55c | 382.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 43c | 378.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yes | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed No | 37c | 357.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed No | 43c | 319.96$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.58 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 80c | 303.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.45 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 66c | 301.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 42c | 291.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 69c | 291.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 48c | 254.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.07 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…cc17backed Yes | 56c | 253.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked No | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Yes | 68c | 233.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Yes | 56c | 223.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yes | 56c | 214.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 59c | 186.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 42c | 185$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 43c | 180.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.34 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Yes | 57c | 176.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked No | 44c | 159.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 29c | 156.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…41a3backed Yes | 38c | 153.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Yes | 53c | 146.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked Yes | 61c | 132.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 47c | 112$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 111.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Yes | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 59c | 90.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 43c | 88.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 41c | 71.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 34c | 70.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 51c | 70.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…c186backed Yes | 57c | 69.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Yes | 44c | 68.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yes | 74c | 67.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 60.1%253 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Yes | 38c | 64.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2325backed Yes | 63c | 63.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 67c | 59.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 57c | 53.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Yes | 34c | 42.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 43c | 36.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…7ec7backed Yes | 54c | 34.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 48c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 59c | 33.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Yes | 34c | 32.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed No | 43c | 30.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked No | 45c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76e…3650backed Yes | 54c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?this page
- MOUZ to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs MOUZ: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.