Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7e46822eb64c4a2196906bcd0852bfc9f382e6ca1ea5596b54a1fae46d5c198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Over | 56c | 4,355$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.21 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 62c | 1,043$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.54 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Under | 38c | 1,023$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 51c | 369.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Under | 44c | 368.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 49c | 360$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Under | 42c | 158.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…f5b9backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Under | 42c | 94.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 53c | 53.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…9929backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…a8bdbacked Over | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.