Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x666d0583f5e97f8b1f838df1b5229cb26a3315668a31212a51b5c1cca30a342d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Under | 48c | 361.65$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 52c | 361.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 239.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 51c | 222.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…f5b9backed Under | 42c | 141.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb887…4c1bbacked Over | 54c | 122.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 57c | 65.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 44c | 48.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…4d5abacked Over | 63c | 47.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…6933backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Under | 37c | 41.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 391 | 40.4%158 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…a8bdbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 55c | 31.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…88fabacked Under | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.