TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,893 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed 9z62c13,021$8,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.6323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ39c10,000$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.9567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ38c8,672$3,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,258.7116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z64c5,802$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.763,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4963…e0a5backed MOUZ0c5,566$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed MOUZ37c2,673$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8428056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed MOUZ30c2,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.796126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z60c1,241$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.631,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked MOUZ40c1,214$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.744734%16 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed MOUZ36c1,147$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7927353.1%145 W · 128 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 9z63c1,134$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.462,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75af…145fbacked 9z60c999.15$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2562…eb9cbacked 9z61c957.73$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z70c804.41$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.122,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed MOUZ1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed 9z63c630.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2217754.8%97 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed 9z64c596.31$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.118246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked MOUZ40c521.03$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2722938.4%88 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ42c469.3$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.955,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2add…a167backed MOUZ40c387.5$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ead…761fbacked MOUZ40c359.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9586…de67backed 9z63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked 9z64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.541069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed MOUZ39c299.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9926245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed MOUZ38c268.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.358740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed 9z61c252.46$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4621463.6%136 W · 78 L-0.7wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed 9z61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.59268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked MOUZ40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 9z61c247.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2433354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed 9z58c232$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…7c8abacked 9z61c210.77$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed 9z71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5823351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7877247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MOUZ39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7828738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked MOUZ38c199.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3323653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked 9z64c192.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked MOUZ39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.238051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa11…e3c0backed MOUZ39c161.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed 9z62c160.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.747447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed 9z63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed 9z63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7310355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed MOUZ40c152.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.920349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0503…8b4ebacked 9z61c147.52$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked MOUZ23c131.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked 9z64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4548566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.265946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed MOUZ40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed 9z60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.679146.2%42 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed MOUZ36c108.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2412651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked 9z60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4038157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed 9z61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed MOUZ39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed 9z64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked 9z64c90.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4927452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed 9z57c82.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6319453.1%103 W · 91 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda11…25c3backed 9z61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed 9z64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1333153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed 9z76c76.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.389364.5%60 W · 33 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed MOUZ40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019244.3%85 W · 107 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed 9z58c71.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed MOUZ38c65.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9213953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed 9z67c53.97$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.979756.7%55 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 9z61c52.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0996049.7%477 W · 483 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed 9z64c51.3$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5611259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked 9z63c50.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.712744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed 9z61c45.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.915966%105 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed 9z63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.823656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked 9z56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.626246.9%123 W · 139 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…386fbacked MOUZ44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63221.9%7 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 9z75c37.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.511,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ41c36.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.692,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked 9z57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a79…6acebacked 9z60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a9…caccbacked 9z61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd311…58bbbacked 9z60c32.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed 9z61c30.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8421650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed 9z61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.723454.7%128 W · 106 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93da…e0bcbacked 9z61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f7…1936backed MOUZ40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf03…5b17backed 9z63c23.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.761030%3 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed 9z64c23.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed 9z64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked 9z75c22.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6727848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed 9z76c22.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3717162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed 9z77c20.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.691,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked 9z61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821343.7%93 W · 120 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed 9z60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.