TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93da…e0bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$371
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$168
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.2
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Edas Butvilasbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montesbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$250.5
Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyerbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Zagreb: Mili Poljicak vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bengaluru 2: Ronit Karki vs Manish Sureshkumarbacked Manish Sureshkumar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$86
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.