Tennis · resolved market
Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e96a3f96a6bdf72afccf52929fdc960e60b43e449cdf062ec63cb76cb1c104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elmer Moellerof Joao Lucas Da Silva, Elmer Moeller
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Elmer Moeller | 14c | 2,728$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.02 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 2,262$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.75 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elmer Moeller | 26c | 1,802$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elmer Moeller | 32c | 1,038$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.54 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 960$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.2 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 838.15$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.15 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Elmer Moeller | 21c | 504.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elmer Moeller | 22c | 493.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 423.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elmer Moeller | 29c | 388.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elmer Moeller | 31c | 386.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 381.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Elmer Moeller | 32c | 317.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Elmer Moeller | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…e0bcbacked Elmer Moeller | 17c | 300$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…e6d4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 292.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Elmer Moeller | 19c | 284.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 265.16$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 75c | 235.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Elmer Moeller | 22c | 197.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 162.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 77c | 116.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 108.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elmer Moeller | 22c | 102.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Elmer Moeller | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Elmer Moeller | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Elmer Moeller | 80c | 68.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 30c | 65.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Elmer Moeller | 32c | 64.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…72d7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…90bbbacked Elmer Moeller | 26c | 59.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Elmer Moeller | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Elmer Moeller | 25c | 44.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Elmer Moeller | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 70c | 42.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Elmer Moeller | 30c | 34.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Elmer Moeller | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…d7a8backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 71c | 14.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Elmer Moeller | 77c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zagreb: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moellerthis page
- Silva vs. Moeller: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.