CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x437967c0cc9786ed6ce3f6acc60d14f21a099f2fc8fe1b2568feadda97dd486f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Over | 48c | 3,759$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.61 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 58c | 3,435$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 47c | 2,203$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.53 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Over | 41c | 1,650$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 1,166$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 29c | 774.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Under | 55c | 685.76$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.27 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 659.86$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.04 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 43c | 538.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.96 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Over | 43c | 509.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.69 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 392.26$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 380.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 367.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Over | 43c | 283.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 53c | 264$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 235.38$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 227.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 211.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 198.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 198.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 17c | 154.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 49c | 151.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 35c | 143.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…3b2abacked Over | 78c | 120.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 89.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 82.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…2041backed Under | 26c | 80.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 43c | 74.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 48c | 55.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 45c | 39.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 50c | 32.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 50c | 28.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 43c | 27.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 58c | 27.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 65c | 26.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 49c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Under | 58c | 20.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 59c | 18.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.