CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc0c94456eafd4c7d1220da04fb31d5644d1789d0b6f785c1c3151d92a6adf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of FURIA, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 | 70c | 4,452$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.43 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FURIA | 29c | 2,698$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.55 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked FURIA | 30c | 1,134$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed FURIA | 31c | 977.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FURIA | 30c | 945.58$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA | 29c | 858.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 67c | 833.94$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed G2 | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa11…e3c0backed FURIA | 43c | 691.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…461abacked FURIA | 30c | 651.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed FURIA | 30c | 628.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed G2 | 70c | 579.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA | 34c | 511.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked FURIA | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked FURIA | 47c | 426.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked G2 | 51c | 395.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.18 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 | 55c | 389.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.09 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed G2 | 70c | 389.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 | 58c | 356.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed FURIA | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FURIA | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked FURIA | 46c | 293.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…e130backed G2 | 70c | 285.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked G2 | 68c | 261$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed FURIA | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked G2 | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 70c | 139.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed G2 | 47c | 118.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed FURIA | 31c | 114.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked G2 | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked G2 | 70c | 108.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed FURIA | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked G2 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FURIA | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed FURIA | 55c | 91.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA | 60c | 87.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed FURIA | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked FURIA | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…1bb2backed G2 | 70c | 69.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…f38ebacked FURIA | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 | 69c | 63.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FURIA | 31c | 61.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed FURIA | 29c | 60.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed G2 | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked G2 | 70c | 58.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed FURIA | 30c | 51.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked FURIA | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…48d0backed FURIA | 42c | 45.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked FURIA | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed FURIA | 30c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…cd09backed FURIA | 30c | 35.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA | 31c | 35.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed G2 | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +10.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed FURIA | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed G2 | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed G2 | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.