CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381f1dcac46373ad6fa7fa3728b22457341b9997bbaec363ecddf48f3b1df98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 4,579$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.61 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 2,053$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.94 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 2,013$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.61 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 49c | 1,745$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.85 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 1,000$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.1 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…b19dbacked Over | 50c | 970.4$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…2d72backed Over | 48c | 583.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 510.79$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 436$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…9d82backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 49c | 305$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 50c | 257.24$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 47c | 238.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 41c | 238.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Over | 50c | 219.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 52c | 218.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Over | 49c | 175.37$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 165.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 52c | 154.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 125.57$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Over | 50c | 119.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8008…8f1fbacked Over | 50c | 115.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 45c | 114.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 98.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 87.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 49c | 63.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…3f15backed Over | 48c | 58.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…fd9ebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…718bbacked Over | 51c | 48.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 50c | 45.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 55c | 29.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed Over | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.