MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ffde90738b4cbbd037c67a931accad915f66d083e854454f677c3dc77040c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.75 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 21,424$12,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,854.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 12,311$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.1 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 10,121$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.87 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 7,567$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,643.95 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 4,546$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 9c | 4,114$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 4,000$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.03 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 3,998$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.91 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 3,526$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,484$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,826$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 1,723$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,685$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.03 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 1,501$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,333$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,303$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 1,180$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.04 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 1,104$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,051$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 997.3$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.4 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 951.14$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 911.9$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.02 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 847.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 791.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 680$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 648.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 593.24$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 571$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 556.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 556.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 505$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 504.46$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.63 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 499.95$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.97 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 499.92$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 496.7$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 452.55$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.53 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 444.23$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 438$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 426.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 420$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 418.78$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 413.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 413.3$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 394.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 363.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.54 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 362.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 360.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…4fb7backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 360$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 360$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 354.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 339.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 325.8$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 323.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 322.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 297$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 54c | 295.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 289.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 288.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 273.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 266.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 265.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 258.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 215.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 208.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 203$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 202.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 200.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 183$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 182$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…4533backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 166.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…6134backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 163.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 163$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…9fb5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 158.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 152.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 145.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…9658backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 131$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.