MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0c7b54ce2f08bd963affd9eb2b44ded3ec369c21ceb0da0fb34ed2afa7a6320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Texas Rangers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 29,999$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.38 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 23,738$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,768.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 44c | 20,292$8,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,411.75 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.86 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 42c | 14,965$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.5 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 66c | 13,752$9,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,690.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 56c | 12,880$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.11 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 12,835$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.21 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.91 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 42c | 10,428$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.25 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 8,700$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 78c | 5,493$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,764$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 4,760$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 4,619$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.46 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 4,353$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Houston Astros | 43c | 4,248$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.24 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 3,876$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 3,782$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 3,300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,024$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.67 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 2,831$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.23 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 2,700$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 20c | 2,544$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,439$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 2,205$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.52 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 2,087$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 70c | 1,994$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.49 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,777$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.65 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 1,749$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 1,731$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.21 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Houston Astros | 71c | 1,550$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.55 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 1,455$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Houston Astros | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 71c | 1,349$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 70c | 1,324$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,315$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,080$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 1,062$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,040$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.17 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,005$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 1,003$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,000$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 942.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 900$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 75c | 890.8$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 881.63$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.01 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 8c | 864.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 857.06$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.64 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros | 66c | 854.44$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.16 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 64c | 838.7$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 762.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 67c | 680$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.05 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Houston Astros | 42c | 594.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.09 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 50c | 588.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.59 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 552.44$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Texas Rangers | 9c | 549$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 512.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 495$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Houston Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 75c | 457.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 445.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 416.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 413.3$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.61 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 400.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 399.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 42c | 396.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 394.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 387.47$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Texas Rangers | 6c | 377.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Houston Astros | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 316.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 72c | 307.89$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 299.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 299.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 296.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 295.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 71c | 286.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 274.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 43c | 266$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.