NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb083e0207ceb0df7f22bf0ae1d176cbc4dc7cf9922cb14a8bb052251a2f284b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Rockets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 79c | 50,578$39,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,709.08 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks | 67c | 44,678$29,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,710.87 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockets | 43c | 42,457$18,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,061.82 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mavericks | 60c | 14,896$8,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.58 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 22c | 13,503$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Rockets | 42c | 11,290$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.31 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Rockets | 43c | 6,920$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Rockets | 41c | 6,346$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Rockets | 37c | 6,130$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.7 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Mavericks | 63c | 6,130$3,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.74 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Rockets | 32c | 5,673$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.89 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 42c | 4,690$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.5 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 64c | 4,587$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.31 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Rockets | 33c | 4,562$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 42c | 4,469$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.83 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 59c | 4,386$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.44 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Rockets | 16c | 3,979$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockets | 4c | 3,731$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Rockets | 23c | 3,536$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.46 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…0e43backed Mavericks | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…24bdbacked Mavericks | 57c | 3,420$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rockets | 28c | 3,363$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.92 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Mavericks | 58c | 3,112$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.01 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Rockets | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 30c | 2,846$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Rockets | 39c | 2,794$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.41 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mavericks | 63c | 2,774$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.5 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockets | 42c | 2,740$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.16 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Mavericks | 61c | 2,619$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.9 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Rockets | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…cdfabacked Rockets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,982$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.61 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,975$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.38 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…a277backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,836$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 38c | 1,816$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.03 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,768$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.24 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 1c | 1,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Rockets | 38c | 1,749$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 45c | 1,733$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.08 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Mavericks | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Mavericks | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.27 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rockets | 42c | 1,704$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.72 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Rockets | 37c | 1,649$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Rockets | 28c | 1,469$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.93 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Rockets | 10c | 1,390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,384$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.54 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockets | 1c | 1,349$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks | 78c | 1,332$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…621bbacked Rockets | 7c | 1,330$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Mavericks | 56c | 1,330$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,278$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.9 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b75…c585backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,222$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.09 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 2c | 1,190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,180$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rockets | 43c | 1,158$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…d4abbacked Rockets | 1c | 1,099$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…dcb9backed Rockets | 18c | 1,078$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Rockets | 12c | 1,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Rockets | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks | 62c | 985.16$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked Rockets | 37c | 969.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Mavericks | 73c | 946.51$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Rockets | 14c | 938.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Rockets | 38c | 931.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks | 58c | 892.96$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.04 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 28c | 890.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…8f86backed Rockets | 44c | 874.78$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks | 58c | 858.62$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.62 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…5c10backed Mavericks | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ae51backed Mavericks | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rockets | 16c | 802.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 38c | 800$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Rockets | 28c | 800$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Mavericks | 60c | 786.06$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Rockets | 23c | 764.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 57c | 704$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Rockets | 21c | 694.22$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 17c | 692.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 46c | 685.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…6631backed Rockets | 30c | 641.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets | 35c | 628.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.52 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…a86abacked Rockets | 23c | 614.43$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Rockets | 13c | 612.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 39c | 605$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.27 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Rockets | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 57c | 528$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Rockets | 15c | 526.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 57c | 526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Mavericks | 58c | 517.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Rockets | 40c | 501.93$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Mavericks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Rockets | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.