NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Rams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31233564f67d76c00bd9fe2bf0d4fd9490d0988d2633bb5303088ac86a9782b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Rams | 20c | 35,080$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.94 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Cardinals | 77c | 29,782$22,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.5 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cardinals | 79c | 13,445$10,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.6 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Rams | 2c | 8,181$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 7,850$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.1 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Cardinals | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Rams | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Rams | 50c | 3,849$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Rams | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Rams | 51c | 2,859$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Rams | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Rams | 18c | 1,885$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Rams | 5c | 1,803$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Rams | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,414$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.03 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Rams | 49c | 1,201$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Rams | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Rams | 11c | 783.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Cardinals | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Rams | 50c | 650.91$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Cardinals | 49c | 600.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rams | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rams | 37c | 599.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rams | 5c | 589.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rams | 13c | 554.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rams | 51c | 508.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.34 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…56f8backed Rams | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Rams | 28c | 499.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rams | 48c | 475$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…d812backed Rams | 33c | 455.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 418.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Rams | 29c | 312$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Rams | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rams | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Rams | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Rams | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…778ebacked Rams | 50c | 245.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +236.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Rams | 51c | 244$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Cardinals | 48c | 222$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Rams | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Rams | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Rams | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…2ad0backed Rams | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…3df0backed Rams | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bd…4c27backed Cardinals | 50c | 199.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Cardinals | 51c | 185$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Rams | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Rams | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…be50backed Cardinals | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Rams | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Rams | 17c | 114.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…22e5backed Rams | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Rams | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Rams | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Rams | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Rams | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…28cfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Cardinals | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Rams | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Rams | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rams | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 51c | 85.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Rams | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Rams | 41c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Rams | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…ca62backed Rams | 49c | 53.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Rams | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Rams | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Cardinals | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Rams | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Rams | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…3800backed Rams | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Rams | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Rams | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Cardinals | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Rams | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked Cardinals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Cardinals | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Cardinals | 50c | 36.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Rams | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…70cebacked Rams | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…1832backed Rams | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Rams | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88a…6cfebacked Rams | 51c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals | 44c | 23.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…ec89backed Cardinals | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Rams | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Rams | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Cardinals | 78c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.