UFC · resolved market
Zellhuber vs. Ribovics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b674c8ee9ec98ac983522890ed968b52e7fad65f7b4a6cf188e67b6b978717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ribovicsof Zellhuber, Ribovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe93f…1782backed Zellhuber | 1c | 9,993$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…93acbacked Ribovics | 30c | 3,144$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Zellhuber | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Ribovics | 34c | 1,625$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…09f6backed Zellhuber | 5c | 1,094$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Ribovics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Zellhuber | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Ribovics | 64c | 1,000$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Zellhuber | 41c | 772.93$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Zellhuber | 3c | 733$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Zellhuber | 3c | 733$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Ribovics | 31c | 595.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Ribovics | 60c | 502.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Zellhuber | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Ribovics | 55c | 445.68$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…8e4ebacked Ribovics | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Ribovics | 70c | 440$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Ribovics | 33c | 439.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…6b58backed Zellhuber | 67c | 374.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Zellhuber | 69c | 300$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zellhuber | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Zellhuber | 70c | 285.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Ribovics | 40c | 247.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…cce2backed Zellhuber | 69c | 225.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Zellhuber | 54c | 200.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…b169backed Ribovics | 41c | 193.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Zellhuber | 30c | 180$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Zellhuber | 56c | 178.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Zellhuber | 71c | 159.42$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Ribovics | 38c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Zellhuber | 67c | 106.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Ribovics | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Zellhuber | 67c | 99.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Zellhuber | 27c | 96.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ribovics | 17c | 90.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ribovics | 35c | 84.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fed…01e9backed Zellhuber | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Zellhuber | 66c | 75.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Ribovics | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…d3dfbacked Ribovics | 33c | 74.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Ribovics | 32c | 72.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Ribovics | 34c | 64.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Zellhuber | 68c | 64.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Zellhuber | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Zellhuber | 62c | 59.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3358…9072backed Zellhuber | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403b…7b70backed Zellhuber | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Ribovics | 33c | 52.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Ribovics | 54c | 42.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…73bfbacked Ribovics | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Zellhuber | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…6989backed Ribovics | 40c | 37.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…06e1backed Zellhuber | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f1…c6dbbacked Zellhuber | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Zellhuber | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Zellhuber | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Ribovics | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Ribovics | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Ribovics | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7041…3077backed Zellhuber | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…928bbacked Zellhuber | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zellhuber vs. Ribovicsthis page
- Grasso vs. ShevchenkoShevchenko won
- Ortega vs. LopesLopes won
- O’Malley vs. DvalishviliDvalishvili won
- Rodriguez vs. OsbourneRodriguez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.