NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f57082a94f7dc3c3bd2bea1dc5f55c7b3f4b1886254027ba1ac314d40bf201f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chiefs | 69c | 31,002$21,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,473.61 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Bengals | 39c | 20,918$8,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,168.41 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bengals | 31c | 18,284$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.85 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bengals | 27c | 10,778$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.14 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Chiefs | 59c | 10,559$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chiefs | 58c | 8,800$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.93 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Chiefs | 45c | 8,722$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Chiefs | 71c | 6,574$4,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Chiefs | 73c | 6,570$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Bengals | 29c | 5,540$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.77 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Bengals | 44c | 5,383$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Chiefs | 66c | 5,288$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.1 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Bengals | 39c | 5,200$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Bengals | 50c | 5,064$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Chiefs | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bengals | 34c | 4,851$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.53 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Bengals | 58c | 4,791$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bengals | 40c | 4,685$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.49 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Bengals | 1c | 4,590$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Bengals | 56c | 4,238$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.71 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Bengals | 27c | 3,950$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.62 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Chiefs | 63c | 3,760$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Chiefs | 76c | 3,522$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Bengals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Chiefs | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals | 34c | 2,857$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.72 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,697$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.51 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Bengals | 56c | 2,539$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.25 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…00c6backed Bengals | 8c | 2,469$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…56fcbacked Chiefs | 60c | 2,255$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Bengals | 50c | 2,040$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.45 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…f4a2backed Bengals | 42c | 2,020$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Chiefs | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Chiefs | 48c | 1,912$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.67 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Chiefs | 73c | 1,654$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.03 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Chiefs | 71c | 1,583$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.14 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bengals | 48c | 1,519$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.8 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bengals | 42c | 1,477$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.28 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…fcc4backed Bengals | 51c | 1,439$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Bengals | 31c | 1,358$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…0791backed Chiefs | 53c | 1,228$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Bengals | 49c | 1,208$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.63 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chiefs | 55c | 1,179$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.45 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Chiefs | 55c | 1,131$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.65 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bengals | 38c | 1,113$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.69 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Bengals | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Bengals | 5c | 1,097$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Bengals | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…56f8backed Chiefs | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bengals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chiefs | 72c | 999.98$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Chiefs | 73c | 902$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bengals | 47c | 864$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals | 29c | 805.29$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Chiefs | 68c | 803.75$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Chiefs | 69c | 803.52$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.09 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chiefs | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Chiefs | 77c | 659.2$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Chiefs | 74c | 652.38$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6209backed Chiefs | 71c | 632.23$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…43e8backed Bengals | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bengals | 24c | 590$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Chiefs | 72c | 531.02$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Bengals | 30c | 519.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…0bc0backed Chiefs | 71c | 498.79$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.65 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Chiefs | 59c | 440$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0545…4e37backed Bengals | 31c | 419.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Bengals | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bengals | 29c | 362.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Bengals | 37c | 353.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Chiefs | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Bengals | 47c | 341.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Chiefs | 68c | 297.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 67c | 289.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Chiefs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Chiefs | 68c | 261$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…7045backed Bengals | 39c | 256.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Chiefs | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Chiefs | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Bengals | 29c | 233.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…9b8bbacked Bengals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca7…81ddbacked Bengals | 30c | 231.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Bengals | 29c | 229.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Chiefs | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Bengals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Chiefs | 67c | 201.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Chiefs | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Bengals | 31c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Chiefs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Chiefs | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiefs | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Chiefs | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Chiefs | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Chiefs | 70c | 195.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Chiefs | 66c | 189.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Bengals | 48c | 189.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…f143backed Chiefs | 54c | 184.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Bengals | 44c | 166.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Chiefs | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Bengals | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.