Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Yemen before November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d316b02bc2ee0175e022c399ed2b5411f6bf38911c70a503b15e72b34a81e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 35c | 22,199$7,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,510.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 49c | 6,928$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 73c | 5,188$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.94 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 29c | 3,222$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.14 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…a8b7backed Yes | 68c | 3,059$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 25c | 2,733$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.02 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6fa3backed Yes | 68c | 2,628$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 43c | 2,578$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.77 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 62c | 2,053$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 19c | 2,028$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.83 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…829ebacked No | 32c | 1,931$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 66c | 1,673$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 39c | 1,629$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.37 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 75c | 1,573$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.71 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked No | 33c | 1,444$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.53 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 35c | 1,442$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.2 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,350$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 78c | 1,269$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…3f44backed Yes | 14c | 1,147$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed Yes | 70c | 1,120$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 40c | 1,066$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.26 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,040$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.98 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 27c | 1,026$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.4 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 78c | 1,008$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 34c | 959.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed Yes | 26c | 833.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed No | 61c | 820.9$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Yes | 64c | 810.45$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…5fa0backed Yes | 68c | 732.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…0d34backed Yes | 51c | 683.31$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 28c | 603$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.2 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed No | 73c | 595.6$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 585.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 545.83$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.91 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 64c | 492.31$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 13c | 466.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…5844backed No | 78c | 446.01$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…6498backed Yes | 23c | 433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…acb7backed Yes | 60c | 423$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed No | 25c | 420$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 45c | 395.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 45c | 395.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…84e8backed Yes | 12c | 379.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…54e7backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 29c | 346.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…9eb8backed Yes | 56c | 345.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 52c | 338.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…a1b1backed No | 31c | 324.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 75c | 318.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed No | 25c | 301.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 59c | 276.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7a…7a7cbacked No | 80c | 264.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed Yes | 68c | 252.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…aa81backed Yes | 76c | 238.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 14c | 237.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked No | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed No | 32c | 232.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…a2cdbacked No | 72c | 221.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 15c | 202.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…81bdbacked No | 77c | 196.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +6.7wins | +0.37per pick | 57cpaid | +84%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…cb91backed No | 49c | 190.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…56eebacked Yes | 70c | 188.34$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked No | 34c | 186.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd6…b1b2backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 59c | 184.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 29c | 182.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 10c | 180.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…9750backed Yes | 33c | 176.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 32c | 154.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…c6a4backed Yes | 10c | 145$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…7f57backed No | 66c | 130.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 75c | 126.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 27c | 125.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 27c | 124.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 57c | 123.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c91…edd8backed Yes | 16c | 123.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 28c | 119.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 73c | 114$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fa…33dfbacked No | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 33c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 63c | 103.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…0204backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…1f5ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…785fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…4fbabacked Yes | 68c | 98.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked No | 76c | 85.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a4…f952backed No | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…1c00backed Yes | 56c | 80.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 55c | 76.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 67c | 74.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…1c0abacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes | 72c | 66.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.