TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$574,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$673,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Lakers68c85,312$58,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,979.7211842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings42c72,096$30,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,339.561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Lakers57c29,603$16,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,713.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings31c22,733$7,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,022.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings3c15,889$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.8626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings30c13,108$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.311,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Lakers58c11,531$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.463568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x717f…769dbacked Lakers34c10,003$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,601.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b4…230bbacked Kings66c10,002$6,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,601.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings32c8,284$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.4270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers72c8,000$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2608150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings41c7,309$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.1965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Kings35c6,433$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.5513920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers38c6,204$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,846.531,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Kings32c5,990$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Lakers50c5,563$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Kings64c5,556$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.838561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Kings13c5,226$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.445561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Lakers66c5,111$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.8421357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Kings50c4,500$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.4415551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Kings5c4,130$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kings38c4,026$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.3530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Lakers64c3,869$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38321649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Lakers40c3,751$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.886450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Lakers65c3,273$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.0415947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings55c3,187$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.5729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings61c3,006$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.8577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers58c2,272$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.3649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers52c2,093$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.821,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers41c2,054$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.084623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Kings20c1,976$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.234316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings63c1,848$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Kings42c1,776$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74010925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Lakers58c1,758$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.525366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Kings69c1,755$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.1316838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Kings53c1,734$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.8914941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Lakers67c1,648$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.617141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings63c1,642$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.0373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Kings65c1,600$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Lakers57c1,487$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.261593.3%14 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick68cpaid+38.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers52c1,451$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.91,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Kings69c1,440$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Kings43c1,392$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked Lakers35c1,340$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8711533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Kings56c1,327$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.416563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Kings16c1,288$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5523438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x728d…9d3dbacked Lakers35c1,244$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaced…5139backed Kings66c1,242$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Lakers42c1,180$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Kings18c1,100$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19747535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings60c1,013$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Lakers56c1,009$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers35c1,002$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65126049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Lakers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Lakers40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…e123backed Kings64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Kings58c999.32$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Lakers41c975.34$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.454254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings61c973.66$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.327546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Lakers33c899.92$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.954344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings54c885.88$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.781,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers29c837.57$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.6875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Lakers50c797.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.9448137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Lakers50c784.24$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.91963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Kings8c774.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Lakers65c765.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.743525.7%9 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers46c749.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4436747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers44c710$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.9625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings45c696.08$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2416553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers36c674.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Lakers52c670.88$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.755453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Lakers75c670.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.056855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32be…c085backed Kings61c666$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…fcc7backed Lakers39c666$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eac…ece7backed Kings66c636.74$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b35…67b4backed Lakers36c636.11$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Kings58c618.57$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.771747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings45c615$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.757236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers41c608.85$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.221,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Lakers35c578.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6633638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2594…ea50backed Lakers36c577$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…6239backed Kings64c577$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Kings66c568.23$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0340448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…6519backed Lakers39c541$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.01520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…edd0backed Kings61c541$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Lakers63c527.87$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.872365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings42c525.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22015149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked Lakers40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Lakers50c498.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2716345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Lakers40c495.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.341,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Kings57c488.48$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.825764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fd…24eabacked Lakers34c482.35$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4282…9e7dbacked Kings68c480.07$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c17…1f3ebacked Kings62c455$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+103.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…b4bfbacked Lakers38c454.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.09633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Lakers52c449.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Lakers41c434.15$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.153860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.