Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b018eacc86bd37534d4c89072f0239d502a0702ad515bf2ddde7ca5fa1a2350
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 14c | 148,269$21,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,070.88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 70c | 38,894$27,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,743.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed No | 79c | 27,041$21,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 78c | 19,520$15,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.44 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 24c | 10,839$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.98 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed No | 78c | 10,131$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 16c | 8,967$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.52 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…7180backed Yes | 31c | 8,521$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 27c | 6,195$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.24 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 77c | 5,018$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…9531backed Yes | 31c | 4,800$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b9…a734backed Yes | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…6578backed Yes | 29c | 4,333$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…0eefbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdd…d1ecbacked Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ae…7cbebacked Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…050cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,900$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…0573backed Yes | 26c | 3,900$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…9f6ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,888$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3562…f9f5backed Yes | 22c | 3,880$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…7344backed Yes | 26c | 3,800$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d2…0b97backed Yes | 26c | 3,700$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e3…9f98backed Yes | 22c | 3,488$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 79c | 3,350$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…280bbacked No | 71c | 3,341$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dc…0784backed Yes | 29c | 3,300$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…4f38backed Yes | 26c | 3,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 24c | 3,061$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.68 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed No | 70c | 3,029$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 3,023$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.36 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4303…38c5backed No | 77c | 2,987$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,548$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 31c | 2,532$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 35c | 2,510$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…504cbacked No | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…cc09backed No | 69c | 2,300$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…adc5backed Yes | 19c | 2,291$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.54 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…5db0backed No | 69c | 2,276$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…2326backed No | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…0519backed No | 69c | 2,200$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked No | 62c | 2,100$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…f516backed No | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…b729backed No | 73c | 2,100$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…7d03backed No | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…4ff1backed No | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b38fbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…f811backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e4…c7cdbacked No | 74c | 1,988$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…4114backed No | 78c | 1,980$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…85a5backed No | 67c | 1,900$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…9e64backed No | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…6da8backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475f…eda7backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…8d30backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…fbc4backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…3537backed No | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…fa87backed No | 74c | 1,900$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…eb1bbacked No | 68c | 1,888$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8630…0f08backed Yes | 32c | 1,888$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…7ba6backed No | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…a17ebacked No | 78c | 1,788$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…bc6bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,753$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.89 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…e021backed Yes | 33c | 1,700$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…fde6backed No | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…4555backed No | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…7496backed No | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf2…c3b1backed No | 78c | 1,700$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…39ecbacked No | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…3ac9backed Yes | 40c | 1,680$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…d733backed No | 60c | 1,680$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…de08backed No | 70c | 1,670$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…375bbacked No | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…c380backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…2e31backed Yes | 39c | 1,598$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 41c | 1,592$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…5647backed Yes | 5c | 1,483$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 76c | 1,435$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…a834backed Yes | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…e679backed No | 68c | 1,352$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.38 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7064backed Yes | 13c | 1,126$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…a403backed Yes | 6c | 1,118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…fa5cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,046$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…4278backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…e322backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…04f3backed No | 63c | 999.86$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 69c | 940.89$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…9d01backed Yes | 33c | 900.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…e600backed Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…ccf5backed Yes | 35c | 899.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…357ebacked Yes | 5c | 873.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 76c | 817.67$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b67…76b5backed No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…fa3dbacked No | 59c | 793.37$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed No | 66c | 786.01$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 78c | 696.73$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed No | 71c | 657.75$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…345fbacked Yes | 33c | 654.26$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 632.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…be7bbacked Yes | 23c | 625.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.