NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x122eedae4864d1ce47a589402e54aef50a5355fcfe24875e6a45663f827ddc90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Lakers | 30c | 69,346$21,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,044.16 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 58c | 15,070$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.47 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Lakers | 43c | 11,465$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.59 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons | 66c | 7,645$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.28 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 32c | 7,222$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.15 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Lakers | 70c | 7,064$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 39c | 5,759$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.03 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Pistons | 73c | 5,741$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.52 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 56c | 4,233$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Pistons | 79c | 4,123$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.12 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…5ba3backed Lakers | 44c | 3,902$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 19c | 3,771$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.03 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 68c | 3,536$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.93 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 52c | 2,613$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pistons | 54c | 2,556$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.73 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pistons | 45c | 2,534$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.5 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 51c | 2,500$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Pistons | 74c | 2,328$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.07 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Pistons | 53c | 2,322$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.42 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons | 70c | 2,050$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.28 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers | 29c | 2,005$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pistons | 72c | 1,864$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.17 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 5c | 1,856$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pistons | 40c | 1,828$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.28 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 32c | 1,726$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.17 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pistons | 51c | 1,714$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.58 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Lakers | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Lakers | 27c | 1,355$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Pistons | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pistons | 54c | 1,244$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.45 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,084$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.09 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Pistons | 22c | 976.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.53 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pistons | 54c | 955.11$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.83 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Pistons | 62c | 883.94$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.39 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Pistons | 35c | 867.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Pistons | 79c | 857.67$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 33c | 852.34$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Lakers | 69c | 780.3$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.41 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…7db4backed Pistons | 54c | 736.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Lakers | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Lakers | 69c | 702.84$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 72c | 696.26$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Lakers | 56c | 694$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Lakers | 68c | 657.35$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 72c | 641.02$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.89 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Pistons | 66c | 621.61$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Lakers | 18c | 564.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Pistons | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Lakers | 63c | 509$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…f32dbacked Pistons | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons | 32c | 499.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.97 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Lakers | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…e598backed Lakers | 68c | 441.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Lakers | 63c | 428.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.23 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Lakers | 58c | 420.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Pistons | 33c | 400$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…d43ebacked Lakers | 15c | 384.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons | 32c | 346.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Pistons | 27c | 334.21$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Pistons | 32c | 333$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Lakers | 65c | 324.24$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.75 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lakers | 67c | 319.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Lakers | 63c | 315.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Pistons | 32c | 312.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…2b37backed Lakers | 69c | 303.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716b…e2d6backed Pistons | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Pistons | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…3b32backed Lakers | 21c | 297.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…7340backed Lakers | 17c | 294.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Pistons | 65c | 291.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…03e6backed Lakers | 42c | 290.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Lakers | 67c | 289.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…56f4backed Lakers | 36c | 289.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Pistons | 70c | 277.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Lakers | 70c | 260.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lakers | 69c | 250$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.76 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Pistons | 32c | 249.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Lakers | 61c | 230.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6de…f8cdbacked Pistons | 79c | 213.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lakers | 73c | 206.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce73…70a9backed Pistons | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Lakers | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pistons | 77c | 189.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Pistons | 65c | 185.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Lakers | 7c | 182.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pistons | 35c | 169.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Pistons | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…a4a0backed Lakers | 14c | 162.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Lakers | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…b66cbacked Pistons | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +151.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Pistons | 21c | 154.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Pistons | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Pistons | 73c | 149.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.