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NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pelicans, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c82…6150backed Pelicans5c15,455$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.3463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Pacers73c15,054$10,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,064.6610945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Pelicans22c15,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans27c13,000$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers75c7,541$5,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Pacers71c7,100$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.13571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Pacers69c6,745$4,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.958561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans32c6,015$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans4c5,095$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.061,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans29c4,152$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans25c2,977$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.563,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans28c2,119$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.4137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Pelicans27c2,085$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.294257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers76c2,007$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.2336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans28c1,827$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffd…1988backed Pelicans32c1,756$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Pacers68c1,756$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c59…b1cebacked Pelicans27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+270.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…3f9fbacked Pacers72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pacers72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42019137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Pacers72c1,458$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3384957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Pelicans15c1,422$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.867950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers73c1,400$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.531,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6d…f360backed Pelicans6c1,202$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans29c1,169$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pacers72c1,111$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1128063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Pacers73c1,081$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.8110921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78f1…42a4backed Pacers73c1,044$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.811478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Pacers71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2907354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d4…83bbbacked Pelicans3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Pelicans27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…d28dbacked Pacers71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a8…4527backed Pelicans28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans29c814.75$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b31…e8ebbacked Pacers78c794.65$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.946665.2%43 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pacers78c760.82$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Pelicans3c709.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.194139%16 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Pelicans29c697.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eac…ece7backed Pacers73c690.59$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f7…2bebbacked Pelicans29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Pelicans15c669.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.55820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Pacers72c592.39$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.872755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3749…bacbbacked Pacers73c570.01$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Pacers71c537.24$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pacers66c530.89$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.537831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Pelicans20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans28c450.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Pacers73c412.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9312563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans29c410.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans17c370.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Pacers73c339.7$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7212651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Pelicans29c332.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5720245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pacers71c304.64$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8789353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Pacers70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Pacers72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans27c299.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans5c299.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Pacers72c278.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.867762.3%48 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397c…49e3backed Pacers73c277.76$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.83138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13d0…e3dcbacked Pacers72c277.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.673745.9%17 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers71c254.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Pacers72c235.4$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.912759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1299…356ebacked Pacers68c216.6$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x242c…75bebacked Pelicans32c216.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers73c213.7$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.715763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Pelicans28c209.26$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.597251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Pelicans13c199.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pacers72c199$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a93…52d9backed Pelicans8c198.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…c302backed Pelicans14c190.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.972227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…5025backed Pacers73c183.36$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.511650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f4…1c68backed Pelicans28c181.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pelicans31c179.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5130061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb1…f686backed Pelicans28c175$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c78…b86cbacked Pelicans28c167.85$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Pacers72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6718666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Pacers71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.719757.4%113 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pelicans21c152.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0848137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Pacers73c152.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.336449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans29c152$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Pelicans10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b3…968abacked Pacers69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pacers71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans28c140.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3426933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Pacers80c140.16$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc78a…ae0ebacked Pacers72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pelicans26c125.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1777437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…feb6backed Pelicans28c123.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.72922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f78…03a8backed Pacers72c119.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.44785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd3…204dbacked Pacers72c113.89$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Pacers71c113.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.828246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Pelicans28c110.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans28c109.43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57d…d9a4backed Pacers68c101.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb645…4845backed Pelicans32c101.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pacers71c101.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d10…66d4backed Pacers72c101.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.