UFC · resolved market
Landwehr vs. Choi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bcdb44fb83be83fee889496916077f8a41fd3ba363995decd5cc2bb52dc2fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Choiof Landwehr, Choi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Choi | 47c | 18,412$8,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,833.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Landwehr | 53c | 10,299$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,486.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Landwehr | 46c | 6,615$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.68 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Landwehr | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Landwehr | 58c | 4,858$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed Choi | 47c | 4,383$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…0a31backed Landwehr | 53c | 4,227$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…321abacked Landwehr | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…15d7backed Choi | 47c | 3,617$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Choi | 46c | 3,251$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Choi | 42c | 2,961$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.75 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Landwehr | 51c | 2,798$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Landwehr | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Choi | 46c | 2,187$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.86 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f9a2backed Choi | 46c | 1,982$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Landwehr | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Choi | 44c | 1,783$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.09 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7a…ccc6backed Landwehr | 56c | 1,776$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…4157backed Choi | 52c | 1,722$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…96b6backed Landwehr | 57c | 1,566$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Choi | 45c | 1,506$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.55 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Choi | 44c | 1,431$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Landwehr | 57c | 1,419$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Landwehr | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Choi | 45c | 948.17$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Landwehr | 52c | 945.46$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.52 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Choi | 47c | 903.81$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Landwehr | 53c | 903.72$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.97 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Choi | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Choi | 41c | 777$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.43 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Landwehr | 51c | 736$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.47 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…3c41backed Choi | 50c | 530.27$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Landwehr | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Landwehr | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Choi | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Choi | 46c | 433.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Choi | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Landwehr | 54c | 425.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Landwehr | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6964backed Landwehr | 55c | 382.63$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…7403backed Choi | 47c | 377.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Choi | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…c5f5backed Landwehr | 56c | 337.27$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bf…32f7backed Landwehr | 55c | 302.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Landwehr | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Choi | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Landwehr | 51c | 244.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…ad29backed Choi | 52c | 193.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…8e77backed Landwehr | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…b8b7backed Landwehr | 58c | 172.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…859fbacked Choi | 47c | 159.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Landwehr | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Landwehr | 54c | 146.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…cdd1backed Choi | 53c | 140.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Choi | 43c | 137.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Landwehr | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…d173backed Landwehr | 56c | 124.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Choi | 80c | 115.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe49…5272backed Choi | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…c374backed Choi | 47c | 102.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Landwehr | 56c | 101.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Landwehr | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Landwehr | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Landwehr | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa714…d689backed Landwehr | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…a999backed Choi | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Landwehr | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Choi | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…2602backed Landwehr | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…19febacked Choi | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Landwehr | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…eb43backed Landwehr | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78d…b76abacked Choi | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Choi | 47c | 74.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Landwehr | 52c | 73.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Choi | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…5302backed Choi | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Landwehr | 56c | 69.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…dc9ebacked Choi | 44c | 68.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Landwehr | 27c | 66.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…1d28backed Choi | 44c | 65.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Choi | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…21aabacked Landwehr | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…981abacked Landwehr | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…558bbacked Choi | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…149cbacked Choi | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…d3dfbacked Landwehr | 55c | 54.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…a3ffbacked Landwehr | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…c7c1backed Landwehr | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Landwehr | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Choi | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…27d4backed Choi | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…2521backed Landwehr | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ed…dfe8backed Landwehr | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa8…ee30backed Landwehr | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Landwehr | 57c | 49.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Choi | 43c | 47.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…d708backed Landwehr | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…6f36backed Choi | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…ca95backed Choi | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Landwehr vs. Choithis page
- Gane vs. VolkovGane won
- Mitchell vs. GracieMitchell won
- Pantoja vs. AsakuraPantoja won
- Rakhmonov vs. GarryRakhmonov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.