Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5e44fc6582828a78fd518ebdc85dc124bb462747e9e1b8773cb6f96d82d7989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf92a…a517backed No | 79c | 6,394$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 17c | 6,129$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 16c | 5,536$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…e1aebacked Yes | 12c | 4,932$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 72c | 4,568$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.7 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879a…1427backed Yes | 23c | 4,016$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 20c | 3,979$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.5 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 68c | 3,903$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.83 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,634$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 11c | 3,404$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.71 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed Yes | 15c | 3,300$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 79c | 3,255$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 24c | 2,937$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 6c | 1,993$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…2098backed Yes | 4c | 1,696$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 5c | 1,551$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked Yes | 10c | 1,512$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,469$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 76c | 1,302$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,024$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 74c | 1,000$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…0294backed No | 70c | 794.37$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 67c | 735.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 13c | 732.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 76c | 716.67$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.67 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 710$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 622.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 615.54$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2964…ea1ebacked Yes | 5c | 564.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 4c | 560.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…d458backed Yes | 37c | 555.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…6e95backed Yes | 17c | 546.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…4f65backed No | 72c | 546.05$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 460.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 77c | 455$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 31c | 404.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed Yes | 4c | 386.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb0…f6ecbacked Yes | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 7c | 350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 60c | 320$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 300.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…32b8backed Yes | 28c | 299.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 7c | 286.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed No | 75c | 264.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…6866backed Yes | 21c | 261.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…2928backed Yes | 6c | 252.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 25c | 250$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed No | 78c | 245.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 32c | 221.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…818ebacked Yes | 29c | 175.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…005ebacked No | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…b357backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 77c | 130.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked Yes | 29c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 35c | 105.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…c865backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 103.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24b7…5755backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…0bd0backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…c213backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…c908backed No | 70c | 66.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 76c | 63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked Yes | 29c | 58.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 71c | 55.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 30c | 46.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 70c | 38.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…9836backed No | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…98b4backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 71c | 25.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 65c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 62c | 17.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.