Mls · resolved market
Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88b2d0dbeefb1a24ceb4592f549c5770f769e36474d5c2b4804b679a0516ae6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed Yes | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b528backed No | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 71c | 1,450$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 27c | 1,440$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.64 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 48c | 726.9$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 23c | 430$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 45c | 356.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked No | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 171.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c6…db1bbacked Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yes | 41c | 132.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 60c | 99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…5123backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…e334backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 32c | 93.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 80.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…bf9ebacked Yes | 70c | 50.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 76c | 48.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…db7abacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 39c | 42.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…3faabacked Yes | 61c | 42.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abb…dbbebacked Yes | 70c | 38.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 68c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 68c | 35.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 76c | 33.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf234…bbc5backed Yes | 78c | 22.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?this page
- Will Atlanta United win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Los Angeles FC win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Minnesota United win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will New York City FC win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Orlando City win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Dynamo win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the New York Red Bulls win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Portland Timbers win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Sounders win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Whitecaps win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.