Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles FC win the MLS Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae555df599a757ef51ad4d1adf2d7c337b1ff81eca8a1ed8e04e7901d8a9cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 22c | 1,202$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 78c | 999.94$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 754.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 640.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 29c | 412$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 4c | 378.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…bf23backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 118.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…ca21backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…7edfbacked Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…3905backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b25…9379backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…6789backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9078…151bbacked Yes | 31c | 33.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles FC win the MLS Cup?this page
- Will Atlanta United win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will LA Galaxy win the MLS Cup?Yes won
- Will Minnesota United win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will New York City FC win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Orlando City win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Houston Dynamo win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the New York Red Bulls win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Portland Timbers win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Sounders win the MLS Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Whitecaps win the 2024 MLS Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.