TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe6a2…6af8backed Rangers69c7,001$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.711662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars30c4,190$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.081,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Rangers37c2,625$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cec…a0fdbacked Stars68c1,796$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2281376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers36c1,504$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.431,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Stars34c1,444$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Rangers72c1,383$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.035149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Stars28c1,310$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8614949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Stars7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Stars40c1,004$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.036149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Rangers65c1,000$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars65c1,000$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Stars36c954.92$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars5c683.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.847450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Stars35c655.23$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2311951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars35c572.94$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Rangers42c551.85$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9513241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Rangers70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rangers36c499.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.994452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8eb…c973backed Stars64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Stars44c440.36$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.762948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers41c430.07$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd42…3d0cbacked Rangers37c418.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+120.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Rangers77c370$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars63c366.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.151,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Stars37c288.85$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.68633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Rangers36c277.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8111445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Rangers76c263.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Rangers74c243.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.949554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rangers36c241.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7119150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Rangers44c237.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.27977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick41cpaid+123.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars13c218.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers36c199.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers37c173.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Rangers59c168.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.99665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Stars63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Stars64c157.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.835337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Rangers36c154.86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4323144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Rangers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Stars35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd73…3cc4backed Stars63c127.6$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars48c124.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1873157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Rangers37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.624647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Stars12c109.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Stars37c105.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83b0…9da7backed Rangers38c102.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.755164.7%33 W · 18 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked Stars49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Stars50c100.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Rangers36c99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Rangers55c89.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.032748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Stars64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Stars64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Rangers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762572%18 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a1…27c6backed Rangers38c71.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Rangers29c69.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.677350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcfad…0076backed Stars63c68.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Rangers36c66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Rangers36c64.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.585435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed Rangers61c63.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe411…9367backed Stars64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f0…daecbacked Stars63c60.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Stars34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Rangers37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.057950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4654…8cbebacked Rangers37c53.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+91.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fb1…34c7backed Rangers37c53.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Rangers43c51.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3813846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Rangers42c50.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.467444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x980a…9e4cbacked Stars64c50.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Rangers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Stars63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.519347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers57c45.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9b…1019backed Rangers35c45.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0acb…89d4backed Rangers36c44.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e09…fc91backed Stars48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90eb…3c61backed Stars62c40.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf05…aa64backed Rangers35c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cad…3079backed Rangers38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x991d…556fbacked Rangers36c39.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5007…8269backed Stars64c39.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Stars63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Stars63c39.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9848654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc7…45b8backed Rangers38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d73…ea85backed Stars58c39.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98af…96b7backed Rangers42c39.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd64…76a8backed Stars64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…c0ddbacked Stars58c38.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+69.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b0…bddabacked Rangers42c37.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98c2…f2d7backed Stars58c37.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5511…df74backed Rangers37c37.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea2…9149backed Stars63c37.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fe…4389backed Stars64c37.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xede6…3519backed Rangers36c37.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75fc…df87backed Stars64c36.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…ed20backed Stars58c36.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.