NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x121e83099ec21dcdf2163b800ff3bea643185a8e616c829b00e0a4577940d7be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 72c | 43,510$31,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,998.79 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 33c | 31,332$10,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,489.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 49c | 23,973$11,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,806.95 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 42c | 14,420$6,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.78 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Thunder | 50c | 13,828$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.59 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…cfd0backed Thunder | 51c | 13,740$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 10c | 12,753$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.85 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 47c | 12,297$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…6440backed Heat | 49c | 11,906$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 29c | 10,174$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.49 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…a674backed Heat | 47c | 10,008$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…74f3backed Thunder | 53c | 10,003$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…fadebacked Thunder | 53c | 10,002$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed Heat | 47c | 10,002$4,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 79c | 9,364$7,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.06 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 51c | 9,227$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.13 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…17e9backed Heat | 50c | 7,444$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 15c | 7,336$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.24 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Thunder | 70c | 7,144$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.43 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 49c | 6,266$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.73 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Heat | 0c | 5,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…500fbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,034$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Heat | 48c | 5,006$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Thunder | 54c | 4,812$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…9b40backed Heat | 29c | 4,471$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Thunder | 66c | 4,391$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.28 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Thunder | 54c | 4,344$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.13 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Thunder | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.95 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Heat | 51c | 3,698$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.08 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 50c | 3,500$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.95 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Thunder | 51c | 3,423$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.74 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d28dbacked Heat | 50c | 3,420$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…2f2abacked Thunder | 49c | 3,420$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Thunder | 62c | 3,369$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 3,271$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,238$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Heat | 47c | 3,055$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.69 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Heat | 43c | 2,980$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.13 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 35c | 2,851$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.41 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 47c | 2,588$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.83 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 39c | 2,520$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.52 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 58c | 2,505$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.9 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…00f6backed Thunder | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Heat | 51c | 2,349$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Heat | 9c | 2,250$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Thunder | 55c | 2,198$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Thunder | 64c | 2,100$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Heat | 48c | 2,092$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Thunder | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.06 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Thunder | 51c | 1,845$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.11 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Heat | 49c | 1,830$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Heat | 25c | 1,595$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.63 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,512$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…8c6abacked Heat | 49c | 1,510$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 36c | 1,444$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.95 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 55c | 1,411$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.05 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Thunder | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 34c | 1,310$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.12 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.42 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 48c | 1,240$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder | 56c | 1,187$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.23 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 48c | 1,099$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,091$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Thunder | 49c | 1,052$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Heat | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Heat | 18c | 1,043$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9200…1fb9backed Heat | 10c | 1,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 33c | 1,018$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Thunder | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Thunder | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Thunder | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Heat | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Thunder | 50c | 999.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…f83abacked Heat | 47c | 995$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Heat | 24c | 968$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Thunder | 68c | 948.71$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.59 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Heat | 50c | 878$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Thunder | 53c | 867.92$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Thunder | 51c | 862.75$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Thunder | 62c | 800$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Heat | 45c | 798.75$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Heat | 35c | 785.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.02 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder | 51c | 784.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Heat | 48c | 760.08$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.66 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Thunder | 53c | 748.37$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.27 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Thunder | 53c | 738.34$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Heat | 48c | 729.33$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.74 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Thunder | 65c | 670$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5f…8d3dbacked Thunder | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Thunder | 60c | 625.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Heat | 48c | 624.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.