NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c855b90c9fb727f851fc414f6855948e4c6c239c3cb03c2351ac62ff047e9cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Sabres | 2c | 2,461$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 1c | 2,444$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sabres | 18c | 2,341$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.66 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 40c | 1,897$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.73 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 1,627$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.19 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Sabres | 1c | 1,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…242ebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9b…331dbacked Sabres | 39c | 1,397$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sabres | 27c | 911.28$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…c973backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 40c | 783.33$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Sabres | 41c | 760.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 677.02$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sabres | 10c | 503.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 40c | 490$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 459.94$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 40c | 450.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Sabres | 40c | 428.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Sabres | 40c | 409.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 388.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Sabres | 43c | 374.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Sabres | 6c | 360.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 323.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 39c | 253.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 15c | 236.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Sabres | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…179abacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 161.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb857…a6aabacked Sabres | 41c | 159.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…d814backed Sabres | 41c | 151.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…524cbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 151.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sabres | 39c | 148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 141.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Sabres | 19c | 128.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Sabres | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Sabres | 40c | 118.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Sabres | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sabres | 38c | 99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Sabres | 29c | 69.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 68.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…e028backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 66.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Sabres | 38c | 65.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 39c | 62.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…d0a0backed Maple Leafs | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…7b53backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 55.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0055…1c98backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 51.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…aa64backed Sabres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Sabres | 40c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…1764backed Sabres | 40c | 43.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…1221backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 42.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…76a8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 41c | 40.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…c538backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 40.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…12d4backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 40.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…ae9abacked Sabres | 39c | 40.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…08b1backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 40.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…b31ebacked Sabres | 40c | 39.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…598cbacked Sabres | 41c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0edebacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 39.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 38.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…e703backed Sabres | 39c | 37.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a5…aa4abacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 37.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34b…151fbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 37.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…320dbacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 37.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…dc62backed Sabres | 39c | 37.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e5…ea57backed Sabres | 39c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…c7d1backed Sabres | 40c | 36.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…159bbacked Sabres | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…f778backed Sabres | 40c | 36.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…22ecbacked Sabres | 40c | 36.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…2223backed Sabres | 39c | 36.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…08d4backed Sabres | 40c | 35.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…5a82backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 35.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…d47bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 35.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…2012backed Sabres | 39c | 35.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…2e78backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 35.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Sabres | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…4d20backed Sabres | 39c | 34.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Maple Leafs | 61c | 34.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…2878backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…c0acbacked Sabres | 41c | 33.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.