NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0412fda65e987bd0eae372393bb26c66433ab35a32c686031e4bdb65824dfcbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks | 71c | 35,357$25,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,325.57 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 29c | 21,893$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.17 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 25c | 16,203$3,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,986.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0062…6cf7backed Magic | 37c | 10,056$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…ad79backed Knicks | 63c | 9,999$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Magic | 13c | 8,237$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.45 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…1e1cbacked Magic | 39c | 5,353$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Magic | 21c | 3,293$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 37c | 3,072$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 62c | 3,001$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.36 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Magic | 39c | 2,591$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 17c | 2,580$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Knicks | 61c | 2,495$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Magic | 37c | 2,495$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 3c | 2,055$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,965$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Magic | 16c | 1,713$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…83bbbacked Magic | 7c | 1,700$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Knicks | 64c | 1,647$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed Magic | 39c | 1,560$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…532abacked Knicks | 62c | 1,471$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Magic | 31c | 1,427$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Knicks | 75c | 1,416$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.41 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…d683backed Magic | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…9cadbacked Magic | 45c | 1,335$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 37c | 1,291$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.67 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Knicks | 59c | 1,230$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,203$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.07 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Magic | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Knicks | 55c | 1,192$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.38 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Magic | 36c | 1,156$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.77 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Knicks | 80c | 1,137$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Knicks | 76c | 1,131$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.84 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…1a25backed Magic | 14c | 1,116$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Magic | 37c | 1,012$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.32 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Knicks | 65c | 1,000$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.71 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…12cbbacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Knicks | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic | 37c | 963.26$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Knicks | 79c | 873.93$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Knicks | 68c | 818.88$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Magic | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d20backed Magic | 37c | 751.67$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Knicks | 63c | 751.67$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 36c | 722.16$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Knicks | 70c | 714.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 37c | 615.05$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.56 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Magic | 37c | 600.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6d89backed Magic | 36c | 556.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Knicks | 64c | 556.83$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 3c | 547.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 37c | 540.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Magic | 18c | 539.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Magic | 38c | 518.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Knicks | 75c | 512.84$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Knicks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Knicks | 60c | 494.68$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Knicks | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Magic | 35c | 459.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 11c | 457.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 36c | 449.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Magic | 17c | 417.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Knicks | 80c | 416.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Magic | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Magic | 5c | 402.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 21c | 400$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 11c | 397.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 61c | 393.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Magic | 38c | 385$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Knicks | 56c | 360.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 56c | 355.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Knicks | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Knicks | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Magic | 40c | 298.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Magic | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Knicks | 62c | 249.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 27c | 248.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Magic | 23c | 238.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Knicks | 64c | 226.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Magic | 35c | 225.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked Magic | 25c | 222.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Knicks | 64c | 218.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…641dbacked Magic | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…c302backed Magic | 17c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…174ebacked Magic | 17c | 194.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…803abacked Knicks | 64c | 194.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…636abacked Magic | 36c | 194.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…78e3backed Magic | 38c | 177.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Knicks | 64c | 162.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Knicks | 70c | 161.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Knicks | 64c | 159.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.