Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4527e34603c4e36965a6cb2a311a3f9b9cfd40d4ab750d5c84b95ea8c5ea70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 77c | 10,988$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.59 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 4,463$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,446$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.52 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 1,762$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.6 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.99 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 2c | 1,066$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 69c | 1,019$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 75c | 910.5$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.83 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 21c | 795.34$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.72 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 48c | 712.27$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 11c | 648.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.75 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 59c | 506.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 27c | 465.18$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 461.79$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.12 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 24c | 432.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 270.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 179.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 75c | 160.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…810ebacked Yes | 72c | 143.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf01…bd2fbacked No | 76c | 130$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 77cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 26c | 116.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 25c | 116$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 62c | 100.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 76c | 95.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 75c | 59.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed No | 74c | 32.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…bee0backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes | 53c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…a6bdbacked No | 53c | 20.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.