TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolves win on 2024-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,008

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No79c7,327$5,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.3111657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Yes13c6,190$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No50c5,215$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.2432158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes38c2,722$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked No64c2,115$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.85666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes50c2,098$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes50c1,673$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.1217945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No50c1,569$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5240640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes18c1,215$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-80.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No50c754.4$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes16c542.3$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes26c534.04$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.855429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5b…4cc1backed Yes50c394.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No52c384.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.69238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No53c379.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2315347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes33c312.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8429643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Yes50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No57c233$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x398d…72d6backed Yes25c188.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba8…0db7backed Yes49c179.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8046660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes50c150.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.024252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x217f…4ee5backed Yes50c131$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cc…d737backed Yes49c129.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.541741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes50c122.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-7.5wins-0.23per pick64cpaid-37.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4135…c599backed Yes50c100.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…a398backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7f…d498backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No51c99.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.615550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7b3…d38fbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f24…1033backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab0…ccdabacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f5…7606backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ac…2a1cbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb59d…a5a5backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4b…1b72backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b68…eea1backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d9…ab0dbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ca…627bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe56…d128backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119c…7a78backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6cd…244bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf607…a080backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb460…1cefbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…491bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324a…a372backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x475c…e174backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1908…0d8abacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf565…181bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3efa…4a97backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa359…db66backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd980…22eabacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa860…618dbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cda…d856backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…e195backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8f…cc14backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ef…5aa3backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a7…737bbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…b8c7backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a11…73b8backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa515…dc53backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…0966backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c1…777cbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7875…62afbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…5ed2backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…1b43backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ca…318ebacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec86…617dbacked Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x075f…3685backed Yes51c99.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e9…a2eabacked No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a1b…1a1dbacked No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5250…61c8backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe737…4747backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a4…0344backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1e…4046backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e8…7102backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa3…0c5cbacked No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe257…b362backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde42…d89dbacked No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ee…b301backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e37…b652backed No50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.