Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves vs. Ipswich end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x544c370753544dfbe022bfa0a4576deceddb77111c9e3ac04a01a39e4b2cdd65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 3,402$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 30c | 2,119$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 716.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.91 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 51c | 711.24$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.25 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 77c | 511.57$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 407.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…efeebacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 78c | 360.09$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 299.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 74c | 296.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 76c | 274.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…947bbacked No | 76c | 248.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 74c | 229.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 5c | 222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 196.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e92…07a6backed No | 75c | 173.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 31c | 134.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 18c | 99.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 50c | 98.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 93.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 67c | 80.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…0050backed Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8d…185fbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…a9a4backed Yes | 28c | 71.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb179…d584backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…761fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…9cadbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…089abacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3e…e974backed No | 75c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves vs. Ipswich end in a draw?this page
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14?Yes won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.