NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dabbaa218fc25ec3413ad941f58b18dad471dece64ebf35e959eed48fb9613e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d96…ff58backed Hawks | 46c | 10,003$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 10,001$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 46c | 6,222$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.94 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 64c | 5,920$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.2 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 43c | 4,601$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.24 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 43c | 3,853$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,764$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.32 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Hawks | 1c | 2,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Hawks | 46c | 2,243$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.84 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 1c | 2,221$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,122$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.05 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 43c | 1,728$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.35 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Hawks | 3c | 1,588$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 1,370$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 1,360$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.8 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 1,310$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.59 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 8c | 1,146$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 49c | 1,102$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,092$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.24 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Hawks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,000$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 912.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…60a5backed Hawks | 24c | 836.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 55c | 719.16$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.73 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Hawks | 4c | 699.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Hawks | 45c | 657.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Hawks | 45c | 636.96$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.23 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 2c | 632.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 629.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 67c | 612.23$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…e828backed Grizzlies | 69c | 600$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…1f3ebacked Grizzlies | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b4bfbacked Hawks | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158a…68f9backed Hawks | 31c | 599.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies | 57c | 577.19$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Grizzlies | 63c | 562.1$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Grizzlies | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Hawks | 44c | 500$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Hawks | 39c | 491.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.46 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 491.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Hawks | 38c | 487.28$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.9 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Hawks | 45c | 480.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 47c | 464.82$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hawks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Grizzlies | 69c | 381.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Hawks | 32c | 369.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Grizzlies | 57c | 349.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Hawks | 36c | 333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Grizzlies | 68c | 328.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hawks | 33c | 327.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Grizzlies | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 298.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Grizzlies | 68c | 293.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…e4babacked Grizzlies | 55c | 274.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 245$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Hawks | 19c | 222.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Hawks | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 57c | 200.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Grizzlies | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 20c | 182.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 180.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Grizzlies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Hawks | 11c | 175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Grizzlies | 70c | 172.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hawks | 44c | 164$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 158.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Hawks | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Hawks | 8c | 140.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Hawks | 49c | 130.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…26e5backed Grizzlies | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…4036backed Grizzlies | 54c | 129.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…e62bbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 126.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies | 66c | 125.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 27c | 120.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Hawks | 40c | 116.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks | 15c | 108.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Hawks | 49c | 107.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Grizzlies | 53c | 104.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Grizzlies | 59c | 102.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hawks | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Hawks | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Grizzlies | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Hawks | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Grizzlies | 58c | 97.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…c510backed Grizzlies | 73c | 95.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Grizzlies | 65c | 93.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…d34bbacked Hawks | 47c | 90.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Hawks | 33c | 88.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.