Middle East · resolved market
Israel military strike against Iran in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69beec40eb5a4e3e731f87e63470ad0a74c9cf00f2a15b00a64438f4d3fb7c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 102,070$30,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,369.48 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 79c | 41,667$32,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed No | 72c | 29,795$21,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,339.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…32cbbacked Yes | 2c | 19,221$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…343dbacked Yes | 16c | 13,008$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…6d26backed Yes | 57c | 11,234$6,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 60c | 9,742$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.12 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…74c2backed No | 75c | 8,943$6,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 75c | 8,396$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 66c | 6,611$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.31 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 71c | 4,504$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.03 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…0626backed No | 27c | 4,372$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…650abacked No | 65c | 4,128$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…9337backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 77c | 2,851$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.8 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 3c | 2,624$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 63c | 2,577$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,563$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.64 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 61c | 2,555$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 20c | 2,308$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.71 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…49edbacked No | 69c | 2,259$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 18c | 1,982$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.55 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…0843backed No | 76c | 1,973$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 78c | 1,896$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 65c | 1,700$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…a68bbacked No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 57c | 1,608$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 76c | 1,558$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,508$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…dc6dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,480$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…8b4cbacked No | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed No | 61c | 1,352$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 56c | 1,333$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.19 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 45c | 1,165$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.26 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,110$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 69c | 1,106$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343e…9c57backed No | 76c | 1,100$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 78c | 1,092$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.51 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 69c | 1,043$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…6645backed Yes | 8c | 920.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 33c | 849.65$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 38c | 807.94$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.28 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…29febacked No | 56c | 700.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…c4eabacked No | 74c | 659.46$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…4bc0backed No | 77c | 648.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 8c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 54c | 596.3$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 570.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.15 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 7c | 565$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 4c | 537.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed Yes | 16c | 527.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 63c | 500.11$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6050…80d6backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 30c | 496.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 65c | 480.83$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…e767backed No | 57c | 451.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 444.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 69c | 435.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9627…432fbacked No | 57c | 431.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…9856backed No | 66c | 417.52$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9f…045dbacked Yes | 42c | 404.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…788abacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…4cefbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…0204backed No | 71c | 371.03$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…a3ebbacked No | 68c | 363.68$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…df64backed No | 71c | 361$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d4b6backed No | 76c | 330.74$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…9c3bbacked No | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 46c | 323.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 26c | 318.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 20c | 300.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 28c | 300.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…9acebacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes | 44c | 271.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed No | 75c | 267.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 41c | 265.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…a838backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…a439backed No | 70c | 252.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec60…128bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bd…c952backed No | 55c | 243.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…85c3backed Yes | 14c | 218.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db8…b5b0backed No | 68c | 207.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…86b2backed No | 64c | 206.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 60c | 202.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…01adbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…bec3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.