Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. Wolves end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x318b2d624e5478f1bc22865f1314530fc8933aa8099a1d0f2b74364206330c68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff8f…03e9backed No | 73c | 11,995$8,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…8e0abacked Yes | 27c | 10,538$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…e5d1backed No | 73c | 10,013$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…cebcbacked No | 71c | 10,012$7,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…f105backed Yes | 29c | 9,895$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 27c | 8,024$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.65 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 70c | 7,437$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.12 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…abebbacked Yes | 27c | 3,270$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 1,691$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.46 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 71c | 911.91$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.42 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 28c | 408.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 72c | 333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…4cc1backed Yes | 30c | 166.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 157.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…2c8ebacked No | 73c | 153.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 71c | 111.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 71c | 89.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…296dbacked Yes | 28c | 86.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…cf5cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9d3cbacked No | 74c | 83.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 50.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb9…051cbacked No | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 73c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. Wolves end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-12-22?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.