TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leicester win on 2024-12-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16cb…2704backed No64c4,008$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.9290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes17c3,729$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.2779639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c3,717$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.3668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No67c3,181$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.4914659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No67c3,022$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.7532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked Yes1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No67c2,018$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.945453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74029643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No65c1,670$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked No67c1,128$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+99.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No66c1,059$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0531944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5b…4cc1backed Yes34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes33c770$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.125339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No68c705.88$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8839561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No79c688.69$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes33c636.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes21c571.43$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes36c420.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503923.1%9 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No68c368$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.763762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes37c333$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2117143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes32c312.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes35c287.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No69c279.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7419336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed Yes31c249.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No74c229$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes6c200.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95c7…3c3bbacked Yes36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c187$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Yes32c156.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes37c144.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3717945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Yes33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes28c123.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.182147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No65c119.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.67967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ee…40b8backed Yes13c112.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b6…0acebacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…60acbacked Yes35c104.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9b…2274backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes35c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe247…bd3fbacked No61c62.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…33b4backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe7fe…8273backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.846660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3af6…4434backed No62c52.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb414…da07backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecf4…706ebacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x031b…aaaebacked No63c50.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ea4…e097backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cbf…5531backed Yes38c45.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x390c…8271backed No61c43.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab7a…e732backed Yes39c41.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…0cdabacked Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a76…0af2backed No61c37.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…4fc6backed No61c37.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69d…7d94backed Yes39c37.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Yes35c37.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1370%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes32c37.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.872213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9fd…99eebacked Yes38c35.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f04…3ba9backed No64c35.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…27cbbacked Yes36c35.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed89…c962backed Yes36c34.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…27abbacked No64c34.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489f…af6abacked No62c33.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ab…48b9backed Yes39c33.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffb4…3f55backed Yes37c33.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…0a57backed Yes36c31.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066b…3eebbacked No64c30.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de4…18eebacked No62c30.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfd…e366backed No62c30.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dec…587abacked No63c29.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…bab4backed Yes38c28.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e88…2693backed No62c28.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19db…57b9backed Yes37c28.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c20…49a0backed Yes38c27.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ba6…1d23backed No62c24.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeee…da14backed No62c23.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2828…0a64backed No62c23.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be5…93b8backed No61c22.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…3e63backed No65c21.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f5…5da9backed No64c20.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed2…4ebabacked No61c20.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73f…b08abacked No65c20.28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…42f1backed No65c16.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a82…0737backed No63c16.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.