TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah37c2,314$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.171,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche3c2,006$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Utah37c1,193$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.666137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Avalanche65c765.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Avalanche57c645.06$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.391822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Utah37c628.89$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.21978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f4c…b823backed Avalanche63c628.88$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche5c626.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Utah37c538.18$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.054645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah36c499.95$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche63c452.24$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.911,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Utah54c350.28$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.916657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Utah36c264.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche62c262.54$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7731849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah35c250$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Avalanche64c250$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.64551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Utah36c222$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5123144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Avalanche65c184.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked Avalanche42c154.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.952347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Avalanche65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Avalanche63c150.9$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0319150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche52c124.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Avalanche64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6441954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed Utah37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeee…c5c4backed Avalanche64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Avalanche64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Utah37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Utah38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche63c94.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x796d…555fbacked Utah37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0039…26cfbacked Utah37c70.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+62.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf05…aa64backed Utah36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.82941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83c…a102backed Utah37c67.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.564100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80a5…a870backed Avalanche63c66.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff5…314cbacked Utah37c66.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ea…779cbacked Avalanche63c63.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c3…a32fbacked Avalanche64c60.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Utah37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52f…5302backed Utah37c59.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2a…30c4backed Avalanche63c55.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa444…ee7fbacked Avalanche63c54.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…14cebacked Avalanche47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617e…aca3backed Avalanche63c52.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah44c50.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2337254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Avalanche64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1079…9749backed Utah37c49.34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+118.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ab…812fbacked Avalanche63c49.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906e…99b5backed Avalanche63c48.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x607d…be36backed Utah37c40.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Avalanche63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a3dfbacked Avalanche63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa855…9d82backed Utah37c38.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf556…0d60backed Utah36c38.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa585…88a9backed Avalanche63c38.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9873…352dbacked Utah37c38.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.986100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe04…004ebacked Avalanche64c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93b0…b0adbacked Avalanche62c36.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc584…eb8dbacked Avalanche63c34.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+70%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf30…d928backed Utah37c34.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53de…b4adbacked Utah37c34.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…790abacked Avalanche67c34.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9120…628bbacked Utah33c34.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb730…1d5ebacked Avalanche64c33.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ba…4b34backed Avalanche63c33.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910d…27dfbacked Avalanche63c33.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc71…6c88backed Avalanche63c33.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa554…15c5backed Avalanche64c32.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Avalanche63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…2e68backed Utah37c31.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6278…2df9backed Avalanche63c31.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb8…3ec7backed Avalanche64c31.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3575…24b9backed Avalanche64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa29…5ef0backed Avalanche63c30.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Avalanche66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479f…bb7dbacked Avalanche66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd71…2531backed Utah37c29.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche65c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8524457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd450…97bebacked Avalanche65c28.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x919f…a532backed Utah38c27.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Utah77c25.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56e7…045dbacked Avalanche62c24.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x887d…3dd2backed Avalanche63c24.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bb1…2a78backed Avalanche63c24.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3f…c5b4backed Avalanche63c23.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x245c…2b57backed Avalanche63c22.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d8…dc11backed Avalanche64c22.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Avalanche68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4933…e551backed Avalanche64c21.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1347…5503backed Avalanche63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3418…187fbacked Avalanche63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Avalanche63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x650a…3c08backed Avalanche63c19.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bbc…050fbacked Avalanche63c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.