NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fb636344f277c0e84eb9e4f458e72184dea2677049dfd4b3d321a05f5f063b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Raiders, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Raiders | 19c | 13,058$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.79 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Raiders | 11c | 12,914$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.18 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins | 77c | 10,301$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.06 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 5c | 9,334$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.55 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…81babacked Raiders | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…24fcbacked Dolphins | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Raiders | 17c | 7,555$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…d81bbacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…a697backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…039ebacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4a65backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…c77fbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…0a67backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55d…802cbacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…cce8backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46c…9e19backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…f2fbbacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…c65dbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…08ccbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…2feebacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…6745backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5986backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…6c29backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…782ebacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…19a9backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec27…c9c6backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…35a7backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…8861backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…664cbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8a…845abacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac58…b485backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…aed3backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…a4cebacked Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…9098backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…2fe6backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Raiders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…fc22backed Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ed…c73dbacked Dolphins | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Raiders | 13c | 3,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Dolphins | 77c | 2,511$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Raiders | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Raiders | 18c | 1,500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Dolphins | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Dolphins | 79c | 1,224$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.09 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 6c | 1,175$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 23c | 1,158$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…33b7backed Dolphins | 79c | 1,127$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Raiders | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raiders | 24c | 999.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f9a2backed Raiders | 17c | 898.44$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Raiders | 8c | 897.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Dolphins | 77c | 870$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Raiders | 19c | 787.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 76c | 785$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 17c | 725$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Raiders | 10c | 685.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Raiders | 14c | 649.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raiders | 22c | 641.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Raiders | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Raiders | 22c | 568.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Dolphins | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…a61ebacked Raiders | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Raiders | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 22c | 479.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…37e2backed Raiders | 24c | 400.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…c8bfbacked Raiders | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…d10cbacked Raiders | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Raiders | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 13c | 387.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…3205backed Raiders | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raiders | 22c | 340.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…4850backed Dolphins | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Raiders | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dec…50dabacked Dolphins | 77c | 290$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1272backed Raiders | 24c | 290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c192backed Dolphins | 77c | 275.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b70abacked Raiders | 25c | 275.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Raiders | 15c | 269.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Dolphins | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dolphins | 76c | 250$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Dolphins | 76c | 249.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Dolphins | 77c | 220.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…814dbacked Raiders | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…c738backed Raiders | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Raiders | 7c | 202.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.