NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ec4e44e865f2954b85552f961e709858e687ac0eb4bfc5c4b71fb86782a7a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $330,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers | 0c | 43,750$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Panthers | 15c | 21,870$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.56 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 14c | 17,629$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.64 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Panthers | 17c | 11,375$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.46 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Panthers | 2c | 9,176$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.29 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Panthers | 6c | 8,436$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…9957backed Panthers | 16c | 8,099$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked Panthers | 4c | 7,480$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 15c | 4,983$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.49 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Panthers | 10c | 4,625$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.15 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…e595backed Panthers | 15c | 4,455$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…a2c1backed Panthers | 15c | 4,233$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Panthers | 14c | 3,983$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.68 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Panthers | 14c | 3,500$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 10c | 3,456$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.98 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Panthers | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Panthers | 7c | 3,066$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Panthers | 10c | 3,060$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Panthers | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Panthers | 10c | 2,421$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.76 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…b797backed Panthers | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Panthers | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Panthers | 16c | 1,719$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.97 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Panthers | 1c | 1,665$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Panthers | 6c | 1,632$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Chiefs | 80c | 1,562$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Panthers | 15c | 1,500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.95 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Panthers | 5c | 1,406$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Panthers | 17c | 1,351$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…e00ebacked Panthers | 11c | 1,272$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Panthers | 19c | 1,237$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.52 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Panthers | 7c | 1,126$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Panthers | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Panthers | 2c | 1,027$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Panthers | 6c | 1,011$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Panthers | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Panthers | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Panthers | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Panthers | 14c | 940.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers | 10c | 875.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Panthers | 12c | 823$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Panthers | 14c | 822.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Panthers | 11c | 819.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Panthers | 20c | 812.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.52 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…ec35backed Panthers | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Panthers | 13c | 788.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Panthers | 15c | 722.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Panthers | 14c | 699.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Panthers | 16c | 636.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…d4c3backed Panthers | 16c | 629.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Panthers | 16c | 622.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 13c | 599.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Panthers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Panthers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…d173backed Panthers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Panthers | 16c | 469.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +90%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Panthers | 15c | 469.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Panthers | 16c | 467.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Panthers | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Chiefs | 77c | 415.16$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Chiefs | 80c | 404.87$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Panthers | 15c | 386.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Panthers | 16c | 367.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…593cbacked Panthers | 15c | 359.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…1a35backed Panthers | 16c | 331.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…278cbacked Panthers | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Panthers | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…3facbacked Panthers | 16c | 296.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Panthers | 17c | 295.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934b…ee6fbacked Panthers | 16c | 290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Panthers | 17c | 278.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03b…38eabacked Panthers | 16c | 251.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…db2bbacked Panthers | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Panthers | 8c | 249.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Panthers | 17c | 249.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…4d3bbacked Panthers | 17c | 232.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Panthers | 14c | 219.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f682backed Panthers | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Panthers | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…5867backed Panthers | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Panthers | 15c | 196.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…ee68backed Panthers | 13c | 176.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…93f9backed Panthers | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Panthers | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Panthers | 8c | 168.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…0759backed Panthers | 16c | 166.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Panthers | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Panthers | 10c | 161$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…1b05backed Panthers | 16c | 135.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Panthers | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Panthers | 15c | 124.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…ebf8backed Panthers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 14c | 104.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…0171backed Panthers | 17c | 103.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Panthers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…c084backed Panthers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Panthers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…8f30backed Panthers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Panthers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed Panthers | 16c | 99.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.