Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0a7c30f4b09fb3cfa7a1de331577a1d4e28637ee31421c387a0a9389706659

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 14, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	26c	7,244$1,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,904.98	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes	46c	3,770$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720.02	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes	36c	3,712$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.12	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+8.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed No	72c	3,329$2,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.04	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes	12c	2,576$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	20c	2,575$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.2	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	72c	2,438$1,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.74	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes	27c	2,088$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.12	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	11c	2,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes	11c	1,778$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed No	74c	1,735$1,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.04	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes	70c	1,000$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed No	62c	1,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	43c	999.99$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.99	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	50c	998.62$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.6	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Yes	10c	990.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	53c	928.86$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.96	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5459…9b52backed Yes	9c	888$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	46c	806.41$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.81	253	29.2%74 W · 179 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes	51c	786.76$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.8	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed No	55c	761.41$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.67	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	16c	708.67$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.14	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…3312backed No	53c	666.6$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.01	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.31per pick	59cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a9c…8f07backed Yes	26c	603.41$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.35per pick	46cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No	28c	600$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Yes	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes	11c	468.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes	11c	454.88$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-7.8wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1577…8949backed No	42c	450$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.5	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	56c	355.27$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.17	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	41c	346.29$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.48	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No	45c	329.41$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.26	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-14.7wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes	72c	288.68$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.85	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes	57c	274.19$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.29	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed No	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No	36c	243.56$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.28	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	22c	241.81$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No	48c	210.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.42	368	45.7%168 W · 200 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes	32c	203$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.96	369	54.5%201 W · 168 L	+50.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	71c	200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb680…c893backed Yes	10c	199.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8af…34c7backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…eb17backed Yes	47c	162.22$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.24	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x603e…c256backed Yes	70c	161.71$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	21c	160.14$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	229	32.3%74 W · 155 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Yes	48c	150$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x847f…08a5backed Yes	7c	150$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No	45c	133.76$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.23	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-8.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No	34c	131.54$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.82	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes	9c	119.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.77	171	43.3%74 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked No	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes	10c	109.09$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Yes	57c	103.4$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca01…8008backed Yes	59c	103.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.88	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4782…6435backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	541	28.3%153 W · 388 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…d316backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78c8…4df7backed Yes	72c	90.9$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No	42c	67.83$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.34	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes	58c	63.61$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.89	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	57c	60.7$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Yes	56c	60$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	155	54.8%85 W · 70 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed No	45c	55.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6be…e346backed Yes	53c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-6.5wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-53%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked No	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Yes	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Yes	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…521cbacked Yes	59c	42.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes	78c	40.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	109	32.1%35 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes	37c	39.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	140	62.9%88 W · 52 L	+16.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+66.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed No	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No	56c	30.61$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.47	197	43.7%86 W · 111 L	+32.4wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+142.5%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2636…0236backed No	78c	26.84$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…087ebacked No	77c	26.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.1	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf845…810ebacked Yes	72c	21.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.62	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2c…9cadbacked Yes	59c	17.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes	72c	17.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.6wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?this page
Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?Yes won
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event